Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004372 0.004598 0.004830 0.005088 0.005365 0.005654 0.005981
2025-11-23 0.003982 0.004313 0.004669 0.005080 0.005543 0.006053 0.006659
2025-11-30 0.003691 0.004075 0.004500 0.005005 0.005594 0.006264 0.007092
2025-12-07 0.003473 0.003893 0.004366 0.004943 0.005634 0.006443 0.007475
2025-12-14 0.003324 0.003774 0.004291 0.004935 0.005724 0.006672 0.007917
2025-12-21 0.003122 0.003580 0.004113 0.004788 0.005630 0.006664 0.008053
2025-12-28 0.003027 0.003506 0.004072 0.004801 0.005729 0.006893 0.008498
2026-01-04 0.002961 0.003464 0.004066 0.004853 0.005875 0.007183 0.009036
2026-01-11 0.002863 0.003375 0.003996 0.004820 0.005905 0.007322 0.009373
2026-01-18 0.002784 0.003307 0.003949 0.004810 0.005964 0.007497 0.009766
2026-01-25 0.002699 0.003227 0.003882 0.004772 0.005979 0.007611 0.010075
2026-02-01 0.002674 0.003222 0.003910 0.004858 0.006165 0.007967 0.010757
2026-02-08 0.002597 0.003150 0.003849 0.004822 0.006183 0.008088 0.011099
2026-02-15 0.002537 0.003096 0.003810 0.004814 0.006239 0.008267 0.011540
2026-02-22 0.002457 0.003013 0.003728 0.004745 0.006203 0.008306 0.011762
2026-03-01 0.002386 0.002940 0.003658 0.004688 0.006181 0.008364 0.012014
2026-03-08 0.002337 0.002895 0.003625 0.004680 0.006228 0.008527 0.012449
2026-03-15 0.002244 0.002789 0.003504 0.004544 0.006081 0.008383 0.012357
2026-03-22 0.002209 0.002759 0.003487 0.004556 0.006155 0.008585 0.012867
2026-03-29 0.002189 0.002749 0.003496 0.004604 0.006284 0.008880 0.013557
2026-04-05 0.002142 0.002701 0.003451 0.004574 0.006290 0.008977 0.013901
2026-04-12 0.002105 0.002666 0.003423 0.004565 0.006329 0.009128 0.014354
2026-04-19 0.002061 0.002619 0.003378 0.004529 0.006324 0.009205 0.014672